Thursday, February 24, 2022

BIG THINGs in THE NYC!

 

La Guardia Airport just completed a $4B renovation project…now that’s MAJOR!

Wenston DeSue

Cited:  Construction Dive


Dive Brief:

  • New York City's LaGuardia Airport opened its second skybridge to passengers on Jan. 28, marking the final milestone of the nearly six-year renovation of Terminal B. The old airport was notorious for its poor condition; former Gov. Andrew Cuomo called it "outdated, overcrowded and unworthy of the Empire State."
  • The Terminal B renovation is valued at $5.1 billion, including $4 billion in construction costs, and the project overall has a price tag of $8 billion. LaGuardia Gateway Partners (LGP), the public-private partnership that manages the project, is made up of Vantage Airport Group, Skanska, Meridiam and JLC Infrastructure. A Skanska-Walsh joint venture led design-build work, while HOK and WPS were responsible for architecture and engineering.
  • The overall project is now about 95% complete, according to a spokesperson for LaGuardia Gateway Partners. The final piece of the original terminal must be demolished in order to open the remaining gates and the taxiway underneath the new western skybridge. Skanksa-Walsh is doing the remaining work.  

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Moodys Office Predictions Low!

 The Office Building sector will need to reconfigured to adjust to the new COVID “norms”.  Wenston DeSue



Performance Metrics Continue to Buck Expectations

We had continued to project rising vacancy rates for the office sector through 2021, given uncertainty about return-to-office plans and ongoing concerns about the pandemic. This flew in the face of economic projections that called for economic growth of over 5.5% in 2021 – the highest rate of growth for US GDP since 1984. We evinced surprise when office vacancies began falling faster than many expected. They dropped in the third quarter by 30 basis points and again in the fourth quarter by 10 basis points, to end the year at 18.1%. The national vacancy rate is now 40 basis points lower than what may well be (in retrospect) the pandemic peak of 18.5%, recorded in the second quarter of 2021.

Asking and effective rents were basically unchanged at the national level, ending the fourth quarter at $34.46 PSF and $27.74 PSF, respectively. Year-over-year asking and effective rent growth rates of -0.2% and -0.8% paint the picture of a tumultuous period, with both types of rent posting positive (if marginal) increases in the middle of the year.


Cited: moodys.com


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Wednesday, February 23, 2022

Construction Opportunities…Time To Go To Work!

 

Construction faces over half-a-billion-worker shortage…


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 



The labor market is being hit from all sides.  Now there’s not only material costs, but labor shortages abound.  

Wenston DeSue

Dive Brief:

  • Construction needs more than half a billion workers above its current pace of hiring in order to meet demand in 2022, according to an analysis released Wednesday by Associated Builders and Contractors. Predictive models from ABC indicate the industry needs 650,000 additional workers.
  • For every $1 billion in additional construction spending, construction gains 3,900 jobs, ABC found. As massive infrastructure spending enters the pipeline, the industry will have a lot of hardhats to fill.
  • Anirban Basu, chief economist for ABC, described the workforce shortage as the "most acute challenge" the industry faces, even in the face of sluggish spending growth.


Dive Insight:

"After accounting for inflation, construction spending has likely fallen over the past 12 months," Basu said in a release. "As outlays from the infrastructure bill increase, construction spending will expand, exacerbating the chasm between supply and demand for labor."

An estimated 1.2 million construction workers will leave for other industries in 2022, ABC found, but an anticipated 1.3 million will offset that departure — leaving other industries for construction. Nevertheless, the age of the workforce raises concerns, as fewer young workers join and stay on jobsites, and veterans of the industry retire.

The number of workers ages 25-54 dropped 8% over the last decade, while the number of older workers has increased proportionally.

"According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the industry's average age of retirement is 61, and more than one in five construction workers are currently older than 55," Basu said.

The number of entry-level laborers has increased 72.8% since 2011, Basu said, while the total number of workers has grown by less than 25%.

"The roughly 650,000 workers needed must quickly acquire specialized skills," Basu said. "With many industries outside of construction also competing for increasingly scarce labor, the industry must take drastic steps to ensure future workforce demands are met."

ABC CEO Michael Bellaman emphasized how construction workers will be essential to fulfill the projects associated with the $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act. He railed against regulations attached by the Biden administration. 

Some of those regulations include President Joe Biden’s recent executive order mandating the use of project labor agreements on federally funded construction projects over $35 million.

"More regulations and less worker freedom make it harder to fill these jobs," Bellaman said in a statement.


Cited: Construction Dive



Tuesday, February 22, 2022

Financial Discrimination is ripe for Justice!

 There is a saying that “we all aren’t free, until we all are free…”  This is no more evident in the under-appraising of property owned by Black and Brown groups.  I hope that the legal system no only takes up the case, but goes to the ends of the earth to rectify this egregious setting precedent.

Wenston DeSue




DOJ Focusing on Appraiser Fair Housing Lawsuit


The Civil Rights Division filed a “statement of interest” in a San Francisco appraisal case where value rose by $500K after removing signs of Black ownership.

ST. LOUIS – The Department of Justice’s Civil Rights Division on Valentine’s Day filed a statement of interest in a private discrimination lawsuit where the homeowners allegedly received an appraisal for nearly $500,000 less than the actual value because they are Black.

In 2020, Tenisha Tate-Austin and Paul Austin, a Black couple in San Francisco, sought to refinance their home mortgage. Janette Miller, a licensed appraiser, named a defendant in the lawsuit, appraised the couple’s home at $995,000. However, a few weeks later, another appraiser set the home’s value at $1,482,500.

They received the second and more significant appraisal after getting a Caucasian friend to pose as Tate-Austin.

The couple said Miller used coded phrases like “Marin City is a distinct area” when she valued the property. They said those comments were related to their race and complained to their mortgage lender.

For the second appraisal, they hid photos and artwork with distinguishing African American characteristics and replaced them with those belonging to their white friend.

“We had a conversation with one of our white friends, and she said, ‘No problem. I’ll be Tenisha,” Tate-Austin told reporters last month. “I’ll bring over some pictures of my family.’ She made our home look like it belonged to her.”

The couple filed a fair housing discrimination lawsuit against Miller and her company, Miller and Perotti Real Estate Appraisers, Inc., and AMC Links, LLC.

Miller and her company have filed a motion to dismiss the case, claiming that the couple failed to state a claim upon which a court could grant relief.

“The United States respectfully submits [our] statement to provide an overview of the FHA and to address two questions of law raised in the defendants’ motion,” the DOJ said in a statement.

“The defendants assert that the FHA does not apply to residential appraisers. The statute’s text and caselaw make clear that it does. Second, the defendants lay out the elements of a prima facie case and argue that the plaintiffs have failed to allege these elements,” the DOJ stated.

“But the plaintiffs need not allege facts that make out a prima facie case at this stage. The act simply requires that the plaintiffs allege a plausible entitlement to relief as a result of the defendants’ “discriminatory housing practices.”

Austin said he and Tate-Austin researched the market well and upgraded their home before the first appraisal.

“We did our homework,” Austin told the Reparations Task Force in a panel on the racial wealth gap in October. “We believe the white lady wanted to devalue our property because we are in a Black neighborhood, and the home belonged to a Black family.”

Cited: realtor.com


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Miami is “cool runnings”…

 Miami…cooling?

Wenston DeSue



Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 


It would seem the sky’s the limit when it comes to pricing for South Florida’s high-rise living with sales prices reaching new heights in January. House hunters, however, are catching some relief — as prices steadied or dipped for the first time in months. Median sales prices increased for condos for the fifth month in a row in Miami-Dade and Broward counties, according to new housing data from the Miami Association of Realtors. In Miami-Dade, prices grew to $360,000 in January, up from $355,000 in December. Prices rose in Broward to $240,000 in January, slightly higher than $236,000 the month before. The month-to-month growth mirrors a year-over-year jump in condo sales prices. Miami-Dade experienced a 27% rise in condo prices to $360,000 in January 2022 from $280,000 in January 2021. Prices rose by 15% in Broward, to $240,000 in January from $209,000 a year ago.


Read more at: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/real-estate-news/article258518653.html#storylink=cpy


Monday, February 21, 2022

Where Is The Opportunity Zone?

 With higher prices comes lower opportunities for affordability….Wenston DeSue


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 



Hot Real Estate Market Impacted ‘Opportunity Zones’

Fla. has over 400 Opportunity Zones to create affordable housing and encourage development, but rising prices and demand have dampened their impact.

TAMPA, Fla. – The 2017 tax reforms signed into law by former President Donald Trump created what’s called a qualified opportunity zone to encourage home construction in low-income areas. Florida is home to over 400 of these zones, where the U.S. Census Bureau identified concentrations of low-income residents and a need for more affordable and workforce housing.

The affordable housing construction program has kept home prices lower in some areas, but costs still rose significantly along with the rest of the U.S. housing market.

A study by real estate data curator ATTOM found home prices in 56% of the opportunity zones went up by at least 20% from October to December of 2021. While price increases were lower in opportunity zones, cost surges did occur even where financial opportunity exists to keep housing affordable.

According to the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act allows state governors to designate up to 25% of their low-income census tracts for use as an opportunity zone. And construction companies building housing on those locations got big financial boons for doing so. Builders whose bids were accepted for development in the zones were able to have their capital gains taxes deferred and reduced for years.

“Investments are made in Opportunity Zones through U.S. Treasury Qualified Opportunity Zone Funds, which must invest over 90% of their assets in Qualified Opportunity Zone properties and businesses,” according to a statement from the DEO  “Qualified Opportunity Zone Funds attract investors through possible tax benefits.”

The financial benefit of the zones gains value over years, depending on how long the funding investment is held. The DEO says the benefits for construction companies are aimed to continue through at least the end of 2026, if not longer.

  • Taxes are deferred on capital gains rolled into Qualified Opportunity Zone Funds and the original tax bill through Dec. 31, 2026, or the sale of the Opportunity Zone investment, whichever is earlier
  • Taxes are reduced on capital gains held in Qualified Opportunity Zone Funds for certain lengths of time; for investments held for five years, the cost basis for tax purposes is increased by 10% and for investments held for seven years, the cost basis increases an additional 5%
  • The rolled over capital gain appreciates tax-free if the investment in the Qualified Opportunity Zone Fund is held for 10 years or longer

As municipalities work to address housing needs that have only increased since the passage of Trump’s tax law, the pricing issue remains a core difficulty in America’s economic situation.

The ATTOM study found that of the more than 5,000 zones they surveyed at the end of 2021, the single-family homes in more than half of the country had their prices jump 16.1%. At a time when real estate values are rising every month and inventory continues to shrink, ATTOM said the median prices in 76% of the opportunity zones had risen beyond the 16% national gain.

Prices in the qualified opportunity zones, areas of between 1,200 to 8,000 residents, grew as part of the same 10-year surge experienced in the rest of the U.S., according to ATTOM.

“Gains in Opportunity Zones again pretty much matched what was going on elsewhere and even beat out the rest of the market in some ways,” said Todd Teta, chief product officer with ATTOM. “While Opportunity Zone markets remained depressed, the increases probably reflected the trickle-down effect of buyers priced out of more expensive neighborhoods. The gains also represented an ongoing sign of vitality in lower-income areas – something that ups the ante for investors looking to take advantage of Opportunity Zone tax breaks.”

Teta also said the neighborhoods near the poorest parts of the U.S. rose the national housing boom throughout the end of 2021, even as the speed of the price increases slowed down. In Florida, the DEO provides a map of different locations that could qualify for the development program. The U.S. federal government provides their own interactive map of opportunity zones by state online.

Florida has 427 potential locations or regions that could qualify for the QOZ funds and development. Under the law, the 25% portion that can be selected to use would mean about 106 or 107 different areas could benefit, if builders are interested and approved to begin construction.

The Internal Revenue Service calls the zones an economic tool to allow investment in “distressed areas” of the U.S. and spur economic growth, job creation and provide tax benefits to investors for aiding low-income communities through the programs.

The latest quarterly reports from Florida Realtors showed the median price of a home for sale in the state was about $350,000. In the opportunity zones, ATTOM reported the national median for a home in a low-income area was between $200,000 to $299,999, though 25% of the locations were above the national median home price of $315,000.

Florida remains more expensive as more people move to the state, and development stalls due to lack of materials. Due to the ongoing issues with material costs and delivery, even if the projects are submitted for approval and given the go-ahead, a clear timeline for construction is difficult to forecast.

Friday, February 18, 2022

Keep An Eye on “the Rate”…

 

There is an old saying…NEVER look at the “how much do you want your monthly payment to be…”

Average Mortgage Rate Increases Again, Hits 3.92%

It’s been almost two years since a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.92% (May 2019 at 3.99%). One year ago, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.81%.

WASHINGTON (AP) – Average long-term U.S. mortgage rates jumped again last week, approaching levels not seen since 2019.

The average rate on a 30-year loan rose last week to 3.92% from 3.69% the previous week, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac reported Thursday. A year ago, the long-term rate was 2.81%.

The last time the 30-year rate was higher was in May of 2019 when it reached 3.99%.

The average rate on 15-year, fixed-rate mortgages, popular among those refinancing their homes, rose to 3.15% from 2.93% one week earlier. It stood at 2.21% a year ago. It last breached 3% in March of 2020, just as the pandemic was breaking in the U.S.

The Federal Reserve has signaled that it would begin the first in a series of interest rate hikes in March, reversing pandemic-era policies that have fueled hiring and growth but also contributing to inflation levels not seen since the early 1980s.

The Labor Department reported last week that consumer prices jumped 7.5% last month compared with 12 months earlier, the steepest year-over-year increase since February 1982. Higher costs for nearly everything have burdened consumers, offsetting pay raises and reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin raising borrowing rates across the economy.

The price for a new home has jumped about 14% in the past year and as much as 30% in some cities. Housing has been in short supply even before the pandemic, and higher prices and rising interest rates will make it even harder for homebuyers.

“As rates and house prices rise, affordability has become a substantial hurdle for potential homebuyers, especially as inflation threatens to place a strain on consumer budgets,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist.

Cited: realtor.com

Wenston DeSue




Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate.