Wednesday, March 2, 2022

Senior Housing vs. Private Equity…

 Sweeping governmental oversight of private equity’s stake in senior housing may mean less engagement in this area of real estate from the “money folks”…Wenston DeSue



White House Releases Sweeping Nursing Home Reform Proposals, Takes Aim at Private Equity Ownership…


The Biden administration on Monday unveiled a sweeping set of proposed nursing home reforms, taking particular aim at private equity ownership.

While private-pay senior living providers have expressed some concern about the potential for greater federal regulation in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic, the White House has focused its attention first very squarely on nursing homes. More than 200,000 nursing home residents and staff members have died from COVID-19 in the past two years, the administration pointed out in a fact sheet on its intended reforms.

The proposals include minimum staffing requirements among several other priorities and provisions. Steps toward reform were developed by the Department of Health & Human Services (HHS) through its Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), the White House stated.

Aging service organizations had mixed reactions to the proposed reforms.

The American Health Care Association (AHCA) President Mark Parkinson, while appreciative of the Biden administration’s ongoing effort to improve quality of care for residents, pointed out that more oversight without federal assistance would not improve resident care.


LeadingAge President and CEO Katie Smith Sloan said the organization was gratified to see the Biden administration prioritizing long-term care, but well intentioned reforms don’t “change the math,” referring to chronic underfunding of Medicaid for long-term care services.

President Joe Biden on Tuesday is expected to outline the plans for nursing home reform during his first State of the Union address.

Private equity as ‘dangerous model’

The White House specifically pointed to private equity firms buying up nursing home property, a trend that has “ballooned” from $5 billion in 2000 to more than $100 billion in 2018, according to a fact sheet on its proposed plans.

About 5% of all nursing homes are now owned by private equity firms, according to a March 2020 working paper published by the Center for Economic and Policy Research.

“Too often, the private equity model has put profits before people — a particularly dangerous model when it comes to the health and safety of vulnerable seniors and people with disabilities,” the White House noted in its fact sheet.

A November JAMA study cited in the fact sheet indicated the presence of private equity ownership actually led to an increase in Medicare costs despite a decline in resident care.


The study also found that residents in private equity-acquired nursing homes were 11.1% more likely to experience a preventable emergency visit to the hospital compared to for-profit nursing homes not associated with private equity.

A National Bureau of Economic Research working paper published in February found that over 17 years, private equity ownership increased excess resident mortality by 10% – that’s an additional 20,150 deaths associated with private equity ownership, an increase in prescription of antipsychotic drugs by 50%, and decreased direct care staff hours by 3%.

The working paper also discovered an increase in taxpayer spending per resident by 11% at such institutions.

Yet another study cited by the White House, this time from the Americans for Financial Reform Education Fund (AFREF), found COVID-19 infection and death rates at private equity-backed nursing homes were 30% and 40% higher than statewide averages, respectively.

“Without decisive action now, these unacceptable conditions may get worse,” the White House stated in its fact sheet. “HHS and other federal agencies will examine the role of private equity, real estate investment trusts (REITs), and other investment ownership in the nursing home sector and inform the public when corporate entities are not serving their residents’ best interests.”

Taxpayer dollars for ‘safe, adequate and dignified care’

The Biden administration is also calling for minimum staffing requirements for nursing homes, reducing room crowding by promoting single-occupancy rooms, and reinforcing measures to limit unnecessary treatments and medications, including antipsychotics.

Biden’s reforms, including staffing minimum requirements, will be developed and implemented by the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). The agency will start with a new study to determine adequate staffing minimums, which will then be proposed one year later.

While most residents prefer private rooms, most current nursing home options involve shared rooms with one or more roommates, the White House stated.

Shared rooms increase a resident’s risk of contracting COVID-19, among other infectious diseases, according to the fact sheet.

“CMS will explore ways to accelerate phasing out rooms with three or more residents and to promote single-occupancy rooms,” the White House stated.

Other pandemic-related reforms mentioned in the fact sheet include continued testing support from HHS, promotion of vaccine boosters and primary series shots, as well as an increased number of infection prevention employees on staff.

The Biden administration also plans to strengthen CMS’ value-based purchasing program after witnessing ties between incentive funding for the program with quality performance.

“CMS intends to propose new payment changes based on staffing adequacy, the resident experience, as well as how well facilities retain staff,” the White House stated, indicating a correlation between submitted staff turnover and weekend staffing levels with quality of care.

Citing CMS’ National Partnership to Improve Dementia Care, the White House stated the industry has made progress in reducing the amount of antipsychotic prescriptions, but that there are still “problematic diagnoses.”

In other staffing reforms, the Biden administration aims to lower financial barriers to nursing aide training and certification, create a template for states wishing to tie Medicaid payments to clinical staff wages and benefits, and launch a nursing career pathway with the help of CMS, the Department of Labor and external entities.

Survey support, rigid penalties and transparency

Biden also plans to call on Congress to financially support nursing home health and safety inspections with a nearly $500 million bump on CMS Survey and Certification aid, amounting to a 24% increase.

Survey funding has remained flat for more than seven years, the White House stated, while the number of nursing home complaints has surged.

Among the Biden-Harris plan to protect seniors, the administration will also “expand penalties” for nursing homes with poor performance track records and “beef up” scrutiny of poor performers.

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) found 82% of all inspected nursing homes had an “infection and prevention control deficiency” during data collection between 2013 and 2017.

Facilities will move through the CMS Special Focus Facility (SFF) program more quickly under the reforms and face larger enforcement actions including termination from Medicare and Medicaid.

The dollar limit for per-instance financial penalties would increase from $21,000 to $1 million for poor performing facilities under the reforms.

In order to increase accountability for owners of nursing home chains, a “minimum corporate competency” will be required to participate in the state and federal programs too.

The final aspect of Biden’s nursing home reforms delves into corporate owner and operator transparency.

A new CMS database will track and identify facility owners and operators across state lines in an attempt to flag previous problems concerning resident health and safety, according to the fact sheet.

“Giving the public a resource to better understand owners’ and operators’ previous violations will empower states to better protect the health and safety of residents,” the White House stated.

Financial transparency will require more “robust” ownership and operating data collected by CMS too, made available on the Nursing Home Care Compare website.

Care Compare ratings will more closely align with verifiable data rather than self-reported metrics as well.

Article Cited: Senior Housing 


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 


Electric Vehicles Take Center Stage with Biden

 If the battle raging in the Eastern Block for oil rich land is not a wake-up call, then we all need to keep taking the “oil and gas coated sleeping pill.”  

Wenston DeSue


Pic by pew.org

Biden touts charging network expansion in State of the Union amid 85% jump in 2021 US EV sales…


When will EV be accessible to EVERYONE?!?!???


Dive Brief:

  • Light-duty electric vehicle sales in the United States almost doubled last year, rising 85%, while sales of plug-in hybrid vehicles grew 138%, according to new analysis from the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Vehicle Technologies Office.
  • The strong sales comes amid a growing push from the federal government to electrify the U.S. transportation system, which accounts for almost 30% of the country's greenhouse gas emissions. During his State of the Union address on Tuesday, President Joe Biden touted plans for a 500,000-charger national network supported by the federal government.
  • There is $5 billion in federal funding for that network that is expected to begin hitting the market this fall, and a new report from the Fuels Institute and ICF concludes state-managed programs with flexibility and clear guidance are the most effective ways to grow public charging infrastructure.

Dive Insight:

Along with development of an EV charging network, Biden also called for investment tax credits to weatherize homes and make businesses more energy efficient, and for the nation to double its clean energy production, including wind and solar.

The president also focused on the potential for electric vehicles to help fuel a resurgence in American manufacturing.

EV sales showed strong growth last year, but some experts say it will still be a stretch to reach Biden's goal for half of new vehicle sales to be electric in less than a decade.

"I don't think we're going to get to 50% by 2030, the federal goal, but I think we're gonna get a pretty good number," Fuels Institute Executive Director John Eichberger said.

Amid supply chain disruptions, car manufacturers in 2021 were unable to roll out as many new vehicle models as expected, said Eichberger. But offerings are anticipated to increase significantly in 2022, possibly to 100 or more EV models in the U.S., by some estimates.

In his State of the Union address, Biden called for lowering the price of EVs and thus "saving you another $80 a month that you’ll never have to pay at the pump." He also touted companies choosing to build new factories in the United States and pointed to investments of $11 billion by Ford Motor and $7 billion by General Motors to build EVs.

Convincing consumers to make the switch means building sufficient charging infrastructure -- and at least initially, building charging infrastructure faster than it is utilized, Eichberger said. Fuels Institute, a research group, expects the U.S. will need a mix of 1.8 million public Direct Current fast chargers and Level 2 chargers by 2030.

"Not only do we need to build the infrastructure, we need to tell people the infrastructure exists. They need to see it, they need to experience it," he said. "They need to be reassured ... And that's going to require probably an overbuild of the market, relative to what's actually necessary, to provide that customer assurance that they they're never going to stranded."

The upcoming federal funding "is important because it gives that kickstart, to start building the necessary infrastructure," Eichberger said. 

States are now beginning to develop EV charging infrastructure plans, due in August, in order to access $5 billion in federal funding for development of the national network.  A second, $2.5 billion competitive grant program for states will be announced later this year.

Ahead of that funding roll-out, Fuels Institute partnered with ICF to assess what mixes of programs and incentives could most effectively advance charging infrastructure. Their report, "Evaluation of Policies for Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Deployment," was released Tuesday and shows public funding may be responsible for up to 26% of the difference in charging infrastructure between markets.

Stakeholders found state management of rebates and incentives to be the most effective, according to the report. And states employing a "broader set of policy approaches" will see stronger development of EV charging, in particular when combined with emissions reductions goals or mandates for the transportation sector.

"The combination of funding programs, whether they're grants or rebate programs, and a state-run program that aims to reduce transportation-related emissions, was associated with some of the highest levels of market development," ICF Lead Transportation and Energy Consultant Jonathan Norris said.

And stakeholders noted "simplicity, clarity, ease of use, and speed of delivery of funding," as aspects that make for successful programs, said Eichberger. "If they're cumbersome, if they're not organized and structured properly, then they're not going to do their job."

Article from:  Utility Dive

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 


 


BIG THINGs in the NYC!


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

FLORIDA…financial help is on the way!


State Awarding $676M to Help Fla. Homeowners

Fla.’s DEO will distribute the funds to homeowners impacted by COVID-19 for things such as late mortgage payments, defaults, foreclosures and delinquent utility bills.

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – The American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 included a “Homeowner Assistance Fund” (HAF) slated to help owners impacted by COVID-19 and the changes it created throughout the economy.

Under the plan, each state oversees distribution. Of the money allotted – a minimum of $50 million per state – Florida received $676,102,379 through the U.S. Department of the Treasury.

The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity (DEO) will oversee distribution in the state, and it unveiled a webpage where homeowners can begin the application process. The page includes a link to register for consideration, considered the “first step of the process to determine your eligibility.”

In distributing the money, the U.S. Treasury created guidelines, saying, “Funds from the HAF may be used for assistance with mortgage payments, homeowner’s insurance, utility payments and other specified purposes.” Based on those guidelines, the Florida DOE created a 48-page document and posted it online, Needs Assessment and Plan for the Homeowner Assistance Fund, outlining how Florida will use and distribute the funds. The maximum mortgage assistance per household is $50,000.

Abbreviated overview of funding rules

Homeowner eligibility

  • A qualified financial hardship must have occurred after Jan. 21, 2020, though the hardship could have started earlier.
  • Currently own and occupy the property as their primary residence.
  • Meet income eligibility requirements.
  • Complete and sign a “hardship affidavit/attestation, application, terms of service, consent forms and any other documentation required by DEO.”
  • Provide documentation within DEO timeframes, including self-certification or attestation of income and Socially Disadvantaged Individual status, as applicable.
  • Co-owners may not separately apply for program assistance.

Legal ownership structures

  • A home owned exclusively by one or more natural persons 
  • A home in which the owner still lives but ownership rights were transferred into a non-incorporated, revocable living trust.

Qualified financial hardships

  • Income reduction – A temporary or permanent loss of earned income directly related to the coronavirus pandemic (e.g., job loss or reduction in working hours). 
  • Living expenses increase – Higher out-of-pocket household expenses directly related to the coronavirus pandemic (e.g., increased costs to care for a family member).

Income eligibility

  • Incomes must be less than or equal to 150% of an area’s median income or 100% of the median U.S. income, whichever is greater.
  • However, DEO says at least 70% of the funds will go to homeowners whose incomes are less than or equal to 100% of an area’s median income or the median U.S. income, whichever is greater.

Eligible property

  • Single-family (attached or detached) properties
  • Condominium units
  • One to four-unit properties where the homeowner is living in one of the units as their primary residence
  • Manufactured homes permanently affixed to real property and taxed as real estate
  • Mobile homes not permanently affixed to real property

Ineligible property

  • Vacant or abandoned residences
  • Second homes
  • Investment properties

Allowed uses for the money

  • First mortgage loan payments (principal, interest, late fees, charges)
  • Subordinate mortgage loan payments (principal, interest, late fees, charges)
  • Manufactured/mobile home loan payments (principal, interest, late fees, charges)
  • Down payment assistance loan payments (principal, interest, late fees, charges)
  • Escrow payments
  • Property taxes (including late fees and charges)
  • Homeowner insurance premiums (including late fees and charges)
  • Flood insurance premiums (including late fees and charges)

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Is Credit Karma Legit?!?!?

 I say…direct from the horse’s mouth….Wenston DeSue



Once people see that Credit Karma offers access to your credit scores for free, they usually follow up with questions like, “Is Credit Karma accurate?” or “What’s the catch?”

Whether it’s your first time visiting Credit Karma or you’ve been a member for years, you might want some more insight into where Credit Karma gets your credit scores and why you should trust a company that claims to offer something for free.

Here’s the short answer: The credit scores and reports you see on Credit Karma come directly from TransUnion and Equifax, two of the three major consumer credit bureaus. The credit scores and reports you see on Credit Karma should accurately reflect your credit information as reported by those bureaus.

This means a couple of things:

  • The scores we provide are actual credit scores pulled from two of the major consumer credit bureaus, not just estimates of your credit rating. This, by the way, is one of the reasons why we ask for your Social Security number and other personal information in order to create a Credit Karma account — so that we can match you up to what the bureaus have on file for you.
  • Credit Karma isn’t a credit bureau or a credit-reporting agency. We don’t gather information from creditors, and creditors don’t report information directly to Credit Karma.

Understandably, you may still have some questions about how Credit Karma gets your credit scores and why your scores from Credit Karma might look different from scores you got somewhere else.

We’ll dig into some of those questions below. We’ll also explain how Credit Karma can offer free credit reports from TransUnion and Equifax along with your free credit scores from each of those credit bureaus.

What’s a credit score?

There are few numbers in life that matter as much to your financial well-being as your credit scores.

Each of your credit scores is a three-digit number that relates to how likely you are to repay debt. These numbers can go a long way in determining whether a lender will approve you for a credit card or loan.

We say “each of your credit scores” because you actually have more than one. The three major consumer credit bureaus — Equifax, Experian and TransUnion — create credit reports that contain important information about your credit accounts and financial profile.

Credit-scoring models created by companies like VantageScore Solutions and Fair, Isaac and Company (FICO) use the information from your credit reports to calculate your credit scores. Different credit-scoring models may weigh the information in your credit reports differently, but high-impact factors generally include credit card utilization, your payment history and any derogatory marks on your credit reports.

Interested in seeing what’s on your credit reports?

Why are my credit scores from Credit Karma different from scores I got somewhere else?

We pull your VantageScore 3.0 credit scores directly from TransUnion and Equifax. There are a few reasons why you might get different credit scores from each of the three major credit bureaus.

One big reason why you may have different scores is that the three credit bureaus may have differing information about you.

Here are three reasons why that may be the case:

1. Mistakes happen

Errors on credit reports are not unheard-of, and even if one bureau has your information completely correct, there’s no certainty that the other two bureaus will as well.

To offer some helpful context: Through Credit Karma’s Direct Dispute™ tool, more than $10.2 billion in erroneous debt has been removed from TransUnion credit reports since 2015. And that’s only one credit bureau!

2. Not all lenders report to all three major credit bureaus

Some lenders may only report to one or two bureaus, not all three. Also, the bureaus may not update your reports at the same time. Different information can understandably result in different credit reports and credit scores.

3. Different credit-scoring models can yield different results

Lastly, credit scores are calculated using different scoring models. Because each scoring model can emphasize different aspects of your credit history, you can get different scores even if they’re based on the same credit reports.

Cited: Credit Karma

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Tuesday, March 1, 2022

“Russian Ripple Day”…war economics.

 When a few men rule, all men suffer…Wenston DeSue



Dive Brief:

  • With the Russian invasion of Ukraine, U.S. contractors face a triple threat of war, inflation and supply chain snarls as they struggle to source building materials.
  • The conflict is likely to drive fuel, copper and aluminum prices higher, while cargo ships in the area have been halted or delayed, wrote Ken Simonson, chief economist for the Associated General Contractors of America in his weekly Data Digest newsletter Friday.
  • "The war in Ukraine and the West's response are likely to have multiple effects on construction materials costs and availability," Simonson wrote. The average price of on-highway diesel fuel was $4.05 a gallon last week, the highest level in almost nine years, he noted, with futures for heating oil, a close proxy for diesel, jumping another 12 cents. "The outlook for other materials is mixed."

Russia is a major producer of aluminum and copper, which had already surged 33% and 25% respectively, year over year in January. That means prices materials forged from those metals could balloon even higher. 

The added pressures from the incursion come at a time when U.S. construction and shipping costs were already rising. Supply shortages, worsened by surging demand, have led to the largest annual spike of input prices to construction since 1987, when data collection began.

On average, input prices for nonresidential construction surged more than 24% over the past year, according to an analysis of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index by the Associated Builders and Contractors.

"It's as bad as any time during COVID," Ernst & Young's global construction and engineering practice lead Erin Roberts told Construction Dive. "You've got all this demand after a brief pause shutting down the supply chain, and it's just causing havoc."

Inflation and IIJA

Even before Russia invaded Ukraine last week, the specter of inflation was already casting shadows over how much the $1.2 trillion in the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act can ultimately accomplish. 

Construction costs for government buildings were up 13.2% year over year in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The cost for the construction of highways and streets was up 20%, while steel mill products rocketed up 113%, and plastic construction products rose 35%, according to a recent article in the Wall Street Journal.

"As the cost of materials for these projects goes up, there are going to be fewer projects that you're able to do," Jim Tymon, executive director of the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, told the Journal. "All of those factors are going to have an impact on just how far this influx of new federal funding is going to go in addressing our infrastructure problems."

State departments of transportation may consider less ambitious projects they can complete more quickly.

"There's this hidden effect of inflation, which is that it should push you to choose projects that have less risk of delay and there's more certainty of cost," Leah Brooks, an economist at George Washington University, told the Journal. "Those are probably smaller projects."

However, some observers point out even if IIJA funding won't go as far as initially predicted, it will be spread out over five years. That means if supply chains don't recover before 2023, as many forecast, the money will continue to flow for years once more materials become available.

Cited:  Construction Dive


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

The “Russian Ripple”

 The last thing a recovering economy needs is worldwide instability due to a maniac’s dreams of grandeur…

Wenston DeSue


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 



Russia-Ukraine War May Affect Housing, Economy

Stocks and cryptocurrencies lost value, which can impact luxury sales – but a general drop in economic confidence can affect every level of the real estate market.

NEW YORK – Russian airstrikes battered Ukrainian cities this week, and the conflict is being felt around the globe. Financial markets worldwide likely will feel the impact from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the largest military operation in Europe since World War II. Economists are warning that the U.S. housing market should brace for some possible changes in consumer behavior.

The luxury real estate market may feel the disruption the most, as financial resources homebuyers use to pay for home purchases, such as stocks and cryptocurrency, have been volatile since the conflict began. The global unrest also could give American consumers the jitters and prompt them to cut back on spending and economic activities, The New York Times reports.

But aspiring homebuyers in all price ranges may become more hesitant to make large purchases amid stock market uncertainty and fears of how a potential full-blown war in Europe might affect U.S. inflation – which is already at a 40-year high. Escalating inflation is hurting renters, buyers, and homebuilders who are facing rising construction costs, realtor.com reports.

“It’s all bad for the economy and housing. It’s just a matter of how bad,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told realtor.com. “There’s a number of different ways in which Russia’s actions will hurt housing.”

The conflict could put more pressure on rising oil and food prices, which, in turn, could weigh more heavily on consumers’ household budgets. Russia is the second-largest oil producer in the world, and although the U.S. imports little Russian oil, the conflict could roil global energy markets, the Times reports.

“If oil prices go up, that raises costs throughout the economy,” says Danielle Hale, realtor.com’s chief economist. “It means more inflation.”

Higher oil and gas prices likely will affect home heating costs and cause even more global supply-chain disruptions, which are being felt widely in the homebuilding industry. Inflation and supply chain problems likely will prompt even higher construction costs.

Prices for construction materials have already climbed 22% annually because of inflation, according to the National Association of Home Builders. Lumber prices have jumped 40% over the past 13 months alone. Higher material costs coupled with higher mortgage rates, which are likely looming in the next few weeks, will hamper housing affordability, economists say.

“Higher mortgage rates will slow homebuying demand over the course of 2022, and the Russia-Ukraine crisis will add short-term volatility to the bond market,” says Robert Dietz, NAHB’s chief economist.

Source: “How Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Is Already Rippling Through the U.S. Housing Market,” realtor.com® (Feb. 24, 2022); “Watch Out for the ‘Angry U.S. Consumer’ as Russian Invasion of Ukraine Threatens America’s Fight Against Inflation,” MarketWatch (Feb. 25, 2022); “What Does Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Mean for the U.S. Economy?” The New York Times (Feb. 23, 2022)