Friday, March 18, 2022

The Housing Boom Continues…?

 Stats can be skewed…Wenston DeSue



Feb. New-Housing Starts Surpass Expectations

A disappointing dip in Jan. new-home starts was followed by a surprise surge in Feb. Economists expected about 3.2% growth but starts rose by 6.8%.

WASHINGTON – An unexpected drop in January new-housing starts was followed by an equally unexpected increase in February.

According to the Commerce Department’s monthly report, housing starts surged 6.8% last month. The surge follows a 5.5% drop in January. Economists generally predicted only a 3.2% increase before the numbers came out.

In addition, building permits – a sign of future activity – were down slightly month-to-month by 1.9%, but they were 7.7% higher year-to-year.

Monthly New Residential Construction, February 2022

Housing starts

Privately‐owned housing starts in February were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,769,000, 6.8% above the revised January estimate of 1,657,000 and 22.3% above the February 2021 rate of 1,447,000.

February’s single‐family housing starts were at a rate of 1,215,000 – 5.7% above the revised January figure of 1,150,000. The February rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 501,000.

Building permits

Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in February were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,859,000 – 1.9% below the revised January rate of 1,895,000, but 7.7% above the February 2021 rate of 1,726,000.

Single‐family authorizations in February were at a rate of 1,207,000 – 0.5% below the revised January figure of 1,213,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 597,000 in February.

Housing completions

February’s privately‐owned housing completions were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,309,000 – 5.9% above the revised January estimate of 1,236,000 but 2.8% below the February 2021 rate of 1,347,000.

Single‐family housing completions were at a rate of 1,034,000 – 12.1% above the revised January rate of 922,000. The February rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 266,000.

Cited:  Florida Realtors


Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 



Thursday, March 17, 2022

FED fights Inflation…

 If we didn’t see it coming, we have been asleep at the wheel.

Wenston DeSue



Fed Fights Inflation: Boosts Interest Rates 1/4 Point


The expected interest-rate increase will raise short-term borrowing costs for things like credit cards, and it often has an indirect impact on mortgage rates. 

WASHINGTON (AP) – The Federal Reserve launched a high-risk effort Wednesday to tame the worst inflation since the 1970s, raising its benchmark short-term interest rate and signaling potentially up to seven rate hikes this year.

The Fed’s quarter-point hike in its key rate, which it had pinned near zero since the pandemic recession struck two years ago, marks the start of its effort to curb the high inflation that has followed the recovery from the recession. The rate hikes will eventually mean higher loan rates for many consumers and businesses.

The central bank’s policymakers expect inflation to remain elevated and to end 2022 at 4.3%, according to updated quarterly projections they released Wednesday. That’s far above the Fed’s 2% annual target. The officials also now forecast much slower economic growth this year: 2.8%, down from its 4% estimate in December.

Chair Jerome Powell is steering the Fed into a sharp U-turn. Officials had kept rates ultra-low to support growth and hiring during the recession and its aftermath. As recently as December, Fed officials had expected to raise rates just three times this year. Now, its projected seven hikes would raise its short-term rate to 1.875% at the end of 2022. It could increase rates by a half-point at future meetings.

Fed officials also forecast four additional hikes in 2023, boosting its benchmark rate to 2.8%. That would be the highest level since March 2008. Borrowing costs for mortgage loans, credit cards and auto loans will likely rise as a result.

Powell is hoping that the rate hikes will achieve a difficult and narrow objective: Raising borrowing costs enough to slow growth and tame high inflation, yet not so much as to topple the economy into recession.

Yet many economists worry that with inflation already so high – it reached 7.9% in February, the worst in four decades – and with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine driving up gas prices, the Fed may have to raise rates even higher than it now expects and potentially tip the economy into recession.

By its own admission, the central bank underestimated the breadth and persistence of high inflation after the pandemic struck. Many economists say the Fed made its task riskier by waiting too long to begin raising rates.

Since its last meeting in January, the challenges and uncertainties for the Fed have escalated. Russia’s invasion has magnified the cost of oil, gas, wheat and other commodities. China has closed ports and factories again to try to contain a new outbreak of COVID, which will worsen supply chain disruptions and likely further fuel price pressures.

In the meantime, the sharp rise in average gas prices since the invasion, up more than 60 cents to $4.31 a gallon nationally, will send inflation higher while also probably slowing growth – two conflicting trends that are notoriously difficult for the Fed to manage simultaneously.

The economy’s steady expansion does provide some cushion against higher rates and more expensive gas. Consumers are spending at a healthy pace, and employers keep rapidly hiring. There are still a near-record 11.3 million job openings, far outnumbering the number of unemployed. 


Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

China Alliance Proves Drawn Lines

 



“When I was studying at Harvard Business School’s International Business-PLD 09’, we discussed the geopolitics of land rights…now we see whole countries taking sides…”

Wenston DeSue




HOW MIGHT the war in Ukraine affect the relationship between Russia and China—perhaps the most important prospective big-power alliance in the world? “The honest answer with a lot of these issues is, it’s such a black box that we don’t really know,” China expert Anthony Saich said during a discussion of the subject Thursday afternoon. The Daewoo professor of international affairs and director of the Harvard Kennedy School’s Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation, Saich was interviewed by Alexandra Vacroux, executive director of Harvard’s Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies. A week into the fast-moving crisis that Saich said would realign the global order “for some time to come,” their conversation touched on subjects from China’s wheat imports to Russia’s implied nuclear threats to “the Taiwan question”—the fraught issue of China’s designs on the island nation. But again and again, both kept returning to uncertainties and thorny contradictions.  

In some ways, Saich said, the war may bring Russia and China closer together, for reasons both economic and ideological. As the sanctions imposed by the United States and European nations make trade with other large partners nearly impossible, Russia may begin to depend more heavily on China for imports of food and manufacturing parts, and to sell its own exports—especially food and energy. “Already,” Saich said, after sanctions were first announced after the initial invasion, “China customs announced it was lifting the restrictions on Russian wheat, for example.…There are also measures about expanding pipeline capabilities for LGN [liquefied natural gas from northern Russia] coming into China.” (But because China imports its oil supply, the run-up in international crude-oil prices in response to the Russian invasion will be costly for its economy.)

But there is also reason for China to be cautious, Saich added, especially as the sanctions deepen and widen. “The potential risk for China is being too closely identified with Moscow’s interests and getting sucked into the backlash.” Chinese companies engaging with Russia will have to be careful not to trigger penalties for themselves. Calling the relationship between China and Russia largely “transactional,” rather than a deeper partnership, Saich said it will be interesting to see “how much China is willing to accommodate supporting Russia moving forward. A lot will depend on what happens subsequently in Ukraine and the international response.”

Western nations’ decision to remove Russian banks from the SWIFT messaging network was probably “a real shock” for the leadership in Beijing, he added, “because China is so heavily integrated into global financial markets—it’s a $5 trillion engagement. The West needs China in that sense, but China also needs continual access to global financial markets.” The SWIFT sanctions may wind up changing how the country holds its own financial reserves, “so that they do not suffer from that kind of vulnerability.”  

The Chinese government is walking “a difficult tightrope” ideologically, Saich continued. Last week, China abstained from voting on a United Nations Security Council resolution condemning Russia, and on Wednesday, the New York Times reported that Xi Jinping knew of Vladimir Putin’s plans to invade Ukraine and asked him to delay until the Beijing Olympics ended. Still, Saich said “There are some signals from China’s reaction that the severity of the Russian movements caught them by surprise.” It’s impossible to be sure, but “my suspicion,” he said, “is that probably Putin told Xi that he was going to move into the eastern parts of Ukraine” and that the operation would be “quick, it would be clean, and it would be very quickly resolved.” Saich noted the joint statement released by the two leaders when they met at the start of the Olympics in early February, which deepened the two countries’ diplomatic ties and asserted that the friendship between them “has no limits.” That statement now puts China in a bind: “It’s very difficult for any official agency to shift too far away from that narrative.” 

Cited: Harvard Journal

Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 


2nd Home Bust?????

 Maybe “NOW” we will get back to normalcy…

Wenston DeSue

Rising Rates Dampen Demand for Second Homes

Rising mortgage rates and home prices have dampened demand for vacation homes. As voluntary purchases, they tend to be more sensitive to market changes.

SEATTLE – Vacation-home demand dropped sharply in February, with mortgage-rate locks for second homes reaching their lowest level since May 2020, according to a new analysis by Redfin using data from real estate analytics firm Optimal Blue. Second-home demand remained 35% higher than it did before the pandemic, but it’s down from an 87% increase the month before.

February also marked the first month since the start of the pandemic that growth in demand for primary residences outpaced that of vacation homes, albeit only slightly, with mortgage-rate locks for primary homes up 36% from pre-pandemic levels.

Demand for second homes started soaring in mid-2020 as the pandemic took hold, and it reached a peak in March 2021, with demand up 95% from pre-pandemic levels. The combination of remote work, record-low mortgage rates and a desire to get away from crowds motivated many affluent Americans to buy vacation homes.

But last month’s demand fell sharply from the month before as mortgage rates rose.

“Rising mortgage rates, combined with rising home prices, are hitting the second-home market much harder than the primary-home market,” says Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “That’s largely because vacation homes are optional. People don’t need a second home, but they do need a place to live. Still, people are buying up vacation homes more than they were before the pandemic, as work remains more flexible than it used to be.”

The average 30-year mortgage rate reached a peak of 3.92% in mid-February, substantially higher than the 2.65% low in the beginning of 2021. The typical monthly mortgage payment is up hundreds of dollars from a year ago, partly as a result of that increase.

Fees for second homes going up

Demand for second homes may continue to decline after loan fees go up. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced fees for second-home loans will increase by about 1% to 4% starting in April. That change will add about $13,500 to the cost of purchasing a $400,000 home for the typical second-home buyer, which can either be paid upfront or rolled into a mortgage (about $60 per month).

Prices up, supply down in seasonal towns

Although mortgage-rate locks for second homes were down in February, prices continue to grow in seasonal towns, where vacation homes are often located. Home prices in seasonal towns rose 20% year over year in February to a median of $513,000. February marks more than a year and a half of 10%-plus year-over-year growth for home prices in seasonal towns.

That’s due partly to a severe shortage of inventory, with the number of homes for sale in seasonal towns down a record 29% year over year in February. The fact that home prices are up and inventory is down – even though second-home demand is declining – suggests some workers with permanently remote jobs may be relocating to vacation destinations rather than purchasing second homes, and that investors are interested in seasonal towns.

Meanwhile, home prices in non-seasonal towns were up 13% to $414,000, and supply was down 17%.

Cited: Florida Realtors

Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Homeowners Ready to List!

 “The market is slowing and economics show increased inflation…time to cash out…”Wenston DeSue



Survey: Sellers Waiting Out Pandemic Are Ready to List

Owners who postponed selling during the pandemic – perhaps waiting for a sign that price increases were slowing – appear ready to list their home within the next six months. Many, however, plan to overprice it – and they expect bidding wars to push the final price even higher.

SANTA CLARA, Calif. – Homeowners have had all the usual reasons to sell over the past two years – marriages, deaths, children, etc. – but many hunkered down during the pandemic, and some feared the housing market because selling might be easy but finding a new home? Not so much.

A survey conducted by HarrisX for realtor.com, however, suggests that many of those people might be planning to list their home in 2022, with 65% of them planning to do so this winter and spring. The survey of 2,583 consumers was conducted online in September-October 2021.

Many sellers, however, want to set an asking price higher than they think their home is worth, and they expect buyer bidding wars.

“The pandemic has delayed plans for many Americans, and homeowners looking to move on to the next stage of life are no exception,” says George Ratiu, manager of economic research for realtor.com.

“Buyers should be ready for high asking prices and offer deadlines as seller expectations of the upcoming market are greater than in the spring, but an increase in new sellers could mean some relief from the inventory crunch,” he says, saying price growth has moderated some, and many sellers will likely wait until after the holidays to make a move.

However, early 2022 home listers may have an advantage, he adds. “As buyers race against the clock of rising mortgage rates, sellers who price their homes in line with today’s market and stick to their plans will likely see their expectations met.”

When will sellers list?

  • Among homeowners who seem prepared to enter the market in the next year, 65% will do so within six months, including 19% who have already listed their home.
  • Compared to the spring (76%), more prospective sellers (93%) have already taken steps toward listing their home, including working with an agent (28%).
  • More than one-third of prospective sellers (36% each) have researched the value of their home and others in their neighborhood, and started making repairs or decluttering.

Top reason for selling? More time at home during COVID

  • Compared to the spring (15%), nearly two-times as many prospective sellers (33%) want different home features.
  • With more sellers having children at home this winter (65%) than in the spring (43%), family considerations are a top reason behind homeowner decisions to enter the market: 37% of prospective sellers say their home no longer meets their family’s needs and 32% want to move closer to friends and family.
  • The rise in remote work is also a key driver: 23% of sellers want a home office and 19% don’t need to live near work, up from 6% in March.

Seller expectations

  • Nearly half of today’s prospective sellers want to take advantage of the current market and think they can make a profit (45%), nearly doubling from the spring (24%).
  • When asked about current market impacts, 42% said they plan to list their property for more money than they think it’s worth, and 29% will push for a quick close.
  • Compared to the spring, more prospective sellers anticipate buyer bidding wars, more offers above asking price, and more buyers willing to forgo contingencies like inspections and appraisals.

Price range changes

  • Sellers with homes at the core of the market ($351,000-$750,000) remained the same over March (29%). However, more sellers plan to list in the $500,000-$750,000 price range.
  • More than three-quarters (77%) of prospective sellers would be willing to accept a lower offer to close quickly versus just over half in March (54%).
  • Compared to spring sellers, a higher number plan to take alternative routes to moving out, such as living with family initially (19%) or temporarily renting their home back from the buyer (29%).

“For homeowners who do feel ready to sell, getting pricing right from the start is key to a fast and successful home sale in any market – take the Goldilocks approach,” says Lexie Holbert, home and living expert at realtor.com.


Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 



Monday, March 14, 2022

GO MBK…We See The Reconfigured Organization.

 Sometimes a “knockdown” is merely a “get up” to a greater extent…Wenston DeSue

MBK President: We Are Back in Growth Mode After Break in Dealmaking, Still Aim to Triple Portfolio Size…


MBK Senior Living’s growth has historically been through acquisitions — and that is still the company’s modus operandi in 2022.

In fact, the company plans to acquire four to six properties in its next fiscal year, which begins on April 1. However, doing so won’t always be easy, according to MBK President Jeff Fischer. 

MBK tends to focus on buying Class A assets in more popular primary and secondary metro areas, meaning that there is typically a surge of interest in every new opportunity that comes to market, which can drive up valuations.

“Pricing on the acquisition side is still a little bit frothy and it can be hard to find the right opportunities in the right areas,” he said during a recent appearance on the Senior Housing News podcast, Transform.

In November, the operator acquired Mariposa Point of Mesa; an 83-unit assisted living community in Mesa, Arizona, that now operates as Sky Vista. It was the company’s first acquisition deal in about a year and a half.

“I’ll be the first to admit we were a little rusty,” Fischer said. “But since then, we’ve circled our team up, we’ve talked through the proper steps, and made sure we have what’s needed day one, week one, month one.”


Meanwhile, the Irvine, California-based operator has recovered nearly all of the occupancy lost during the pandemic at its 35 communities across the U.S., and with pent-up demand exhausted, “it’s back to the grind” for the company’s sales teams, according to Fischer.

“We’re really focused on our day-to-day sales efforts, our outreach, really working the database to the fullest extent and making sure that our sales directors and our executive directors are focused and zeroed-in, day-in and day-out,” he said.

Highlights of Fischer’s podcast interview are below, edited for length and clarity. Subscribe to Transform via Apple Podcasts and SoundCloud.


On MBK’s ongoing recovery:

Our goal was to hopefully recover everything in a year that we’d lost in the prior year. We’re not quite there yet, and when I say year, I mean our fiscal year, which starts April 1. But we are about 90% back to where we were with our pre-Covid numbers at this point.

We experienced the highs of some of our occupancy gains upfront, it was just a lot of that pent-up demand that had occurred during the pandemic. We rode that wave, and were able to recover quite a bit early on. Now, a lot of that has been spent, and it’s back to the grind, so to speak. We’re really focused on our day-to-day sales efforts, our outreach, really working the database to the fullest extent and making sure that our sales directors and our executive directors are focused and zeroed-in, day-in and day-out.

A lot of folks with dementia or that have family members with dementia, it’s very needs-driven and they just can’t take care of them at home any longer. We’re seeing some of those types of residents. [We’re also seeing] AL residents that just need some care, and … some IL as well, maybe who needed a change in lifestyle. I think … some of those residents are making a lifestyle choice versus maybe having a care need.


On workforce challenges:

I don’t think the overall workforce challenges and pressures are going away anytime soon. Maybe it is easing a little bit, and we’ve seen a little bit of an uptick in hiring in the last couple of weeks or so. But we have our challenges everywhere, and certain markets are tougher than others. We’re seeing it most heavily with our frontline team members, with caregivers, servers with housekeepers, those type positions. 

There is no simple solution to it. It’s hard work by our recruitment team to go out and identify candidates — maybe identify different segments of the workforce that aren’t familiar with senior living — and try to educate them and get them in tune with the fact that this is a good career choice. And we’re just out there grinding trying to find candidates.

I don’t think [hiring] panned out with hospitality workers to the degree we had hoped for. But it’s still a focus for us. Again, there are still a lot of hospitality workers displaced, and hotels have shut down and have not reopened — as have restaurants, and so forth. So, we are still focused on hotels, restaurants, those types of workers. 

We’re also trying to see if we can target maybe stay-at-home moms that had to stay home with their kids that were being schooled at home, maybe some semi-retirees who, with the ‘Great Resignation’ maybe are retiring from the careers, but are looking for a few hours here and there to supplement and give them something to do. So, we’re looking at every segment of the workforce possible to try to attract some new workers.

I still feel like there’s a lot of pressure on our industry and pressure on our team members, our department directors and our frontline team members caring for our residents in a difficult setting. The challenging workforce only adds to it and the pressure of people calling off, or just open positions, and others having to work a lot of overtime and such.

That concerns me in the sense that we could continue to see that burnout, and continue to see some people that just say, ‘You know, enough is enough, I’m either going to retire or I’m going to try something different that might be a little bit easier.’ So, we’re really focused on that here at MBK. We’re trying to stay in touch and in tune with our team members, and listen to their needs. If they’re feeling burned out, can we get them some time off? Can we get them maybe a change of assignment? Anything to try to ease that pressure in the short run so that we can prolong their career with us.

We’ve had tremendously high overtime usage, and we’ve had to use a lot of agency hours — which of course, back in the day it was taboo to even say that word. But now, it’s almost commonplace, and we don’t take it lightly. We stay focused with our teams that we need to try to eliminate the agency usage first and foremost, because those aren’t our team members and they don’t have the same vested interest that the MBK team has.

In the last two to three weeks, we’ve seen a little bit of an easing in overtime usage. It’s still high, but I would say we’ve seen a little bit of an easing of the agency hours. We have some communities that don’t have any at all, and we have others that have used it but they are expected to hopefully limit it by the end of this month. So, we’re seeing a little bit of light at the end of the tunnel. We’re not out of the woods yet, but we’re still focused on it.

On the company’s culture, which is rooted in a Japanese concept called yoi shigoto:

Yoi shigoto means good, quality work, and that is our kind of our mantra. 

We focus on culture as a daily thing. We talk about the MBK family — and we use the word ‘family’ very purposefully. We want them to feel respected, we want them to feel good about where they work, we want them to feel proud of what they do. 

So, in addition to the normal things we do like our annual surveys, we do a lot of pulse checks with our teams just to see how they are doing. I or a lot of my key leaders will make random calls to our communities and talk to our teams and, and just touch base with them to see how they’re doing, what they are feeling, if there is anything we can do differently to help them to make the day-to-day job easier. 

We’re also focused on trying to find ways to make the work-life balance better, and to find ways to make their jobs and their daily tasks more efficient, if at all possible. And then specifically, regarding, yoi shigoto and the good work, we put a lot of emphasis on … looking at what they can do to support and be productive members in their outside communities. That includes doing a lot of volunteer work, donation projects, fundraising — whatever it takes to help their outside communities near them, which makes our residents and our team members feel better. 

And it’s not just our team, we get our residents involved as well. So it’s a great effort and makes for a lot of camaraderie, and builds that overall culture throughout our entire company.

On growth and maintaining culture:

We haven’t tripled our portfolio yet. It’s not a magic number or a magic formula, it’s going to be a very long process to, in essence, get to about 10,000 units. It’s a long-range goal for us. 

Since the time we talked [in the fall of 2021], we have taken on three additional communities through acquisitions, and one through a management contract. We have another offer out on a potential other acquisition right now. And we are currently underwriting probably another half-dozen opportunities out there that we’re looking at. Not all those are going to pan out, but we are actively looking and searching for acquisition opportunities across the western half of the U.S. from basically Texas to California. That’s our primary focus. We would even go further than that if we found some critical mass where we found a cluster of properties that we could purchase and drop a regional team in that area. 

Like I said earlier, our fiscal year starts April 1. So we’ll be starting a brand-new year for us here in a few weeks, and bring on another set of goals for us to acquire hopefully another four to six properties in the coming year.

The history of MBK has always been in acquisitions, that’s where our growth has come from. And it continues to be our primary driver. 

We are in the beginning stages of talking about potentially doing some co-investment on development, maybe a minority ownership interest, and doing some ground-up development to bring lots of new communities. Not only cost, but the ability to get materials — I think all of that continues to be very challenging, especially on the development side. 

Pricing on the acquisition side is still a little bit frothy and it can be hard to find the right opportunities in the right areas. We typically tend to focus our efforts on primary and secondary markets, which a lot of folks do. So, there is a lot of interest when a property comes to market and it does tend to drive pricing up. 

Again, we’re going to make sure that — even though we say we want to grow, and we would like to triple the size of our company in the coming years — we’re not going to do it just for the sake of saying, ‘Look at us, we’re bigger.’ We want to find smart deals, opportunities that are Class A products or that we can put some CapEx into and turn them into a Class A product.

In November, we took on our first acquisition, which was the first one in a year and a half or so, and I’ll be the first to admit we were a little rusty. It was a little choppy as we got going with the integration of that community, but since then, we’ve circled our team up, we’ve talked through the proper steps, and made sure we have what’s needed day one, week one, month one.

[We need to] make sure that our integration process is very smooth, that we have the right level of support without overdoing it. Because you can bombard a new community or a new team and overwhelm them with too much information and too much new stuff all at once. So, we’re trying to make sure that we have a good cadence to it as we go, that we’re there to support, that they know who to call, when to call, or just to call if they have a question or are not sure what to do. 

And then, we’ll work through a very succinct schedule and checklist to make sure that we can onboard them appropriately, and so that we can, in fact, keep that culture strong. We need to make sure that we do some upfront meetings with them just prior to the acquisition being finalized, that we make sure we introduce me, my key leaders, our HR team … so that they feel comfortable reaching out. 

And then once the deal closes and we’re officially the owners, on day one we start the process and a stream of activities and duties to make sure that that new team feels a part of it all.

On piloting and adopting new technology:

I think all of us realize that this industry tends to be kind of behind the times, we have a lot of manual processes. 

Still, we have piloted a handful of products and different systems over the past couple of years, especially. Many of them just ultimately did not pan out or did not give us what we thought were the advantages that they proclaimed they did. 

A couple other things we have adopted to try to improve the quality of life of our residents and the engagement with them. And again, we’re still looking for ways to try to improve the efficiencies of what our team members do on a day-to-day basis. 

It’s not easy because, again, we’re a midsize company at 35 current communities. So, we don’t have the time and the resources or the money to go out there and test everything out there. We’re partnering with other companies like Direct Supply and others that are looking at technologies and finding ways that we can learn from what other people have already tested. 

If we do pilot a new program, we’ll ask for references and we’ll talk to the companies that are actually using those programs. We’re not looking necessarily to be the first one to use new technology, we want to find things that we feel are solid, that do produce the results that the company may claim they do. 

We make sure we aren’t just haphazardly throwing too much at our teams, because again, they’re stretched thin as it is, and they can only do so many new projects or tackle so many new tasks. So if you throw too much at them, even if you’re trying to help or be innovative, it could ultimately cause more pressure and more burnout along the way. So we’re trying to balance all that as we go.

On the biggest opportunities and challenges ahead in 2022:

I think the biggest concern continues to be the staffing. How do we see our way through these workforce challenges, and hopefully restabilize our workforce to where we don’t have the level of overtime, and certainly the level of agency usage. 

What’s exciting to me is, as things continue to open up, just helping seniors and their families, taking that pressure off of them. 

We had our leadership retreat this past September, so it’s been a while now. But we had a resident’s family come in and speak to our team, and speak about her experience at our location near San Diego. And it was such a heartfelt moment for her. What she spoke about mostly was how much pressure was lifted off her shoulders. That enabled her to go from being an adult caregiver and allowing her to go back to being a daughter again. It was just such a powerful statement, and that’s what we’re here for. 

We’re here to obviously take care of our seniors, but we’re here to take care of their families, to ease that pressure so that they can be a family and not be worried. So, that’s where we get our reward, and that’s where the ‘second paycheck’ is, as a lot of folks refer to it.

Cited: Article from Senior Living


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 






Saturday, March 12, 2022

WAKE UP…Oil needs to be Replaced!

 WE ALL BETTER TAKE A HINT…our co-dependence on dictators, faulty governments and oligarchs for oil is bringing us to the brink!

Wenston DeSue




PG&E, GM initiative will pilot use of electric vehicles to power homes in Northern California…


Dive Brief:

  • Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) and General Motors (GM) on Tuesday announced a pilot aimed at using electric vehicles as on-demand home power sources in the utility's Northern California service area.
  • The two companies plan to test bidirectional charging technology – which would allow customers to send power from their vehicles to, for instance, a home – thereby enabling EVs to power essential home needs, while also contributing to electric reliability in PG&E's footprint.
  • "We see this as... electric vehicles becoming mobile power sources or mobile batteries, if you will, offering greater energy reliability and resilience," Aaron August, PG&E's vice president of business development and customer engagement, said during a media briefing, adding, "this is a huge shift in the way we're thinking about electric vehicles."

Dive Insight:

California passed legislation in 2019 that required the state’s Public Utilities Commission to lay out strategies and metrics to integrate EVs into the grid by the end of the decade. In late 2020, the agency approved a decisionlaying out a framework for vehicle-grid integration in the state. 

The biggest hurdle to implementing bidirectional charging will be getting the price signals right, Michael Colvin, director of regulatory and legislative affairs at the Environmental Defense Fund, said in an email.

“It’s relatively easy for the utility to send a price signal to the vehicle to “not charge”, but [it's] much harder to say “we need your power from your vehicle,” Colvin added.

California is aiming to ensure that 100% of new passenger car and truck sales are zero-emission by 2035. EVs play an important role in the state's decarbonizing goal – currently, the transportation sector contributes almost 40% of its greenhouse gas emissions. 

"EVs are already providing a ton of benefits to consumers but the value proposition of EVs in general [is] continuing to build and expand. We see this expansion as being the catalyst for what could be the most transformative time for two industries – both [the] utility and automotive industry," August said.

The companies intend to test a "vehicle-to-home" capable EV and charger by this summer, including the use of bidirectional hardware and software-defined communication protocols that will automatically coordinate among the EV, home and PG&E's network. After that, the pilot will focus on testing vehicle-to-home interconnections in a small number of customer homes. PG&E and GM hope to open the pilot to larger customer trials by the end of the year. 

Given the early stage of the pilot, the utility was not yet able to provide detailed information on how much it expects to spend on the project, or how many homes will be included in the pilot. 

"Not only is this a huge advancement for electric reliability and climate resiliency, it's yet another advantage of clean-powered EVs, which are so important in our collective battle against climate change," PG&E Corp. CEO Patti Poppe said in a statement. 

The pilot could also offer valuable lessons on bolstering electric reliability and resilience in PG&E's service territory. As a simple rule of thumb, an average California home uses about 20 kWh of electricity a day, Rick Spina, vice president of EV infrastructure at GM, said. A fully charged Chevy Bolt, meanwhile, has around 60 kWh of power. 

"You basically can easily say that if you really pushed it hard enough, you could run about three days of an average California house off of a fully charged Bolt," he said. 

California regulators have been paying particular attention to the ways in which demand response can support the grid after utilities in the state were forced to initiate rotating blackouts during a record-breaking heatwave in the summer of 2020. In such a situation, a charged EV could offer a few days of potential power, and utilities could also manage EV charging during certain times of day so as to smooth out grid conditions, August noted.

"There's a variety of ways to actually orchestrate when these vehicles are charging or how they're going to be putting power back to the home," August said. 

Cited: Utility Dive

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Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate.