Thursday, February 17, 2022

The “SQUEEZE” is ON!

 Don’t be fooled…higher home prices and higher rents mean a real estate bottom…inflation is about to cause a whole new class of living….Wenston DeSue





Cities in Florida, New York and New Jersey are seeing steep jumps in rent. Austin, Texas had biggest 1-year gain, 40%; rent in Orlando rose 30%.

MINNEAPOLIS – Last year, Laura Kraft landed a job in Orlando, Fla. She’d just gotten her Ph.D. in entomology, meaning she studies bugs, and she’d be working on a big nature exhibit at a theme park. All that sounded great until she started looking for an apartment.

“I started looking at rent and was like, not sure if I was going to take the job,” she says. “The rent was so high in Orlando. It really blew me away.”

At first she looked for a place of her own. But anything in her price range had a waiting list at least six months long. So she found a Facebook group for theme park employees looking for roommates in order to afford a place to live.

“My roommate and I together are paying $2,200,” Kraft says. “A lot of people that I know have like three, four, sometimes five roommates in a house.”

The cost of renting a place in Orlando rose nearly 30% just last year alone, according to a survey by the real estate firm Redfin. Cities in Florida, New York and New Jersey are seeing particularly steep jumps in rent, as is Austin, Texas, with the biggest one year gain of 40%.

The survey, it should be noted, tracks new listings for apartments.

“That doesn’t literally mean that every person in Austin is going to see their rent go up 40%,” says Redfin’s Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “But it means that if you are on the market right now looking for an apartment or home to rent, the prices will be 40% higher than they were the year before.”

Some of the forces driving rents higher differ from city to city. Fairweather says a lot of technology workers have been moving to Austin and the migration of more people there is pushing up both rents and home prices. In New York City, rents are rebounding after falling earlier in the pandemic.

But she says rents are rising more than usual just about everywhere.

“The root cause of the problem is a lack of supply,” Fairweather says. “We have not built enough homes to meet demand.”

There a bunch of reasons for that. One of the biggest, she says, is restrictive zoning. Especially in higher-cost parts of the country, zoning rules make it hard to build cheaper smaller houses or apartments that are tightly packed together.

Meanwhile, Fairweather says more millennials in their late 20s and early 30s feel like they’re done with roommates or their parents’ basement.

“Millennials are the biggest generation,” she says. “We’re forming households, and we want a place of our own and that is causing an increase in demand.”

Redfin’s survey looks at the 50 largest U.S. cities. On average, it found the rents landlords were seeking for available homes and apartments rose 3% in 2020, which is about normal for recent years. But then last year, they rose 14%.

Government data show that the rent Americans are actually paying – not just the change in price for new listings – rose 3.8% over the past year. But, while less dramatic, that consumer price index also shows rents have been rising more than usual the past few months.

Allison Best-VanLiew is feeling the bite of those rising rents up in Buffalo, N.Y. “It’s been a little wild, to be honest,” she says.

By no stretch is Buffalo a hot housing market historically. Best-VanLiew and her husband have been renting on a busy street for a few years, and they pay $900 a month.

“We do not have a dishwasher, which is normally fine.” But she says now they are thinking of having a baby. “The bottles alone, like you kind of need that.”

And as they’ve been looking around for a better place, she says everything seems more expensive than it was a few years ago. “Between $1,200 and $1,400 for a place relatively close to this size with just a dishwasher,” she says.

Like a lot of young couples, she and her husband would rather buy a house. But with home prices hitting new records she says they’re having trouble saving enough for a down payment. And with so many would-be first-time homebuyers priced out of the market, that boosts demand for rentals and helps push rents even higher.




Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Dream Job…REAL LIFE!

Interesting…I have been a realtor for several years and a developer for longer.  This “real estate” profession takes work, humility, planning and execution…Wenston DeSue


Hottest U.S. Dream Job? 

Real Estate Agent

The pandemic caused American workers to question their jobs and what they do every day – and Google says the top new-job search term is “real estate agent.”

SAN FRANCISCO – The pandemic-fueled “Great Resignation” trend prompted a lot of people to leave their current jobs in search of new roles. For many people, that very well may be real estate, according to research findings from Google.

Google released search trends on the jobs attracting the most attention on its search engine. The list ranks the top jobs people searched for in the U.S.

The industry has seen a rising number drawn to a real estate career since the pandemic began. The National Association of Realtors® has seen its membership climb from about 1.4 million in 2019 to about 1.52 million in January 2022, according to the latest member data.

According to Google, the top 10 most-searched-for jobs online in the U.S. are:

  1. Real estate agent
  2. Flight attendant
  3. Notary
  4. Therapist
  5. Pilot
  6. Firefighter
  7. Personal trainer
  8. Psychiatrist
  9. Physical therapist
  10. Electrician

Florida, however, was not one of the top states to see real estate career demand.

The 15 states where searches for real estate careers dominated were California, Washington, Wyoming, North Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey and Vermont.

Tuesday, February 15, 2022

The Peebles Corporation is BUILDING

 In honor of Black History Month, it’s great to see black developers continuing to grab their rightful place among “the greats”.  Kudos to Don Peebles, whom I have had the honor to meet concerning growth in development.  

Wenston DeSue

Black Contractors Led By Peebles Corporation Want To Build Tallest Skyscraper In NYC History

·2 min read

One World Trade Center may currently be the tallest skyscraper in the Western Hemisphere, but if a team of mostly Black contractors and lenders has its way, they will be leading the charge to eclipse the tower and make even greater history by becoming the first predominately African-American team to build a skyscraper in New York City.

Don Peebles (Photo from Peebles Corporation website)
Don Peebles (Photo from Peebles Corporation website)

“This project is emblematic of true equity in developments,” Peebles told World Architecture. “A symbol for all who visit New York, cementing in brick and mortar that New York is serious about economic inclusion.”

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Named “Affirmation Tower” by Don Peebles, CEO of the Peebles Corporation, the team also includes famed Ghanaian-British architect Sir David Adjaye, who designed the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington, DC.; Cheryl McKissack Daniel, president and CEO of the oldest minority/women-owned design and construction firm; Exact Capital Group, a New York-based real estate development firm; and Steve Witkoff of real estate development firm the Witkoff Group.

In addition to this core team, project leaders are committed to providing at least 35 percent of contracts to minority and women-owned businesses.

Spearheaded by Peebles, the team has submitted a proposal to develop the project on a 1.2-acre lot adjacent to the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in New York. The proposed tower will be 1,663 feet tall and feature two hotels, an observation deck and a skating rink as well as commercial office space.

The team expects the tower will provide an estimated 30,000 jobs to New York residents over the next six years; half of these jobs are expected to be permanent. 


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

GO OUT…Just not out to work in an office!

 The GREAT work-from-home revolution is afoot….

Wenston DeSue


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 



It's a tale of two pandemic recoveries. Although most Americans are out and about again for recreation, only 33% of office workers are back at their desks, The Wall Street Journal observes. The reasons are no mystery: Surveys show that people dislike commuting and appreciate the flexibility of working from home. Companies are reluctant to force the issue amid a labor crunch, but local governments are pleading on behalf of ailing downtowns. “Burn the Zoom app,” New York Gov. Kathy Hochul implored business leaders this month.

 

• Movie theaters have regained 58% of their audiences.

• Three-quarters of diners are back at restaurants.

• Air travel has recovered 80% of passengers.

• Attendance at NBA games is 93% of what it was before COVID.


covered 80% of passengers.

• Attendance at NBA games is 93% of what it was before COVID.


Monday, February 14, 2022

Land…Land…Land…Condo Land

 Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate.  

Land…Land…Land…values of condo’s land may outpace the value of the condos themselves…Wenston DeSue


Older Condo Building Owners May Get Buy-Out Offers

Pressured by high repair costs, more owners of older condos may welcome developer buy-out offers if the land’s value outweighs that of all the individual properties.

MIAMI – A condominium development trend that was already unfolding prior to the horrific Champlain Towers tragedy in Surfside – the legal termination of older condominium communities and buyout of all the unit owners to make way for new construction – is now becoming a movement in South Florida real estate redevelopment.

More owners of units in aging condo communities near the water are receiving offers from industry-leading developers than ever before, and some of these offers are coming just as the 40- and 50-year recertifications for their aging condominium towers come due.

The costs for repairs, even at the 40-year mark, can be too much for many unit owners to afford. Some associations’ financial reserves are woefully inadequate, or even nonexistent, so they would need to impose significant special assessments to pay for major repairs.

In such cases, offers that are sometimes two to three times over market value for each unit can become a very appealing exit strategy for owners, and Florida has a legal mechanism for such condominium terminations that has proven to be effective. Terminations led to the development of the Armani/Casa tower in Sunny Isles Beach and the Una Residences now under construction in the Brickell area.

For developers, the math is even simpler than that of the unit owners. Once the value of the land for redevelopment becomes greater than that of the combined property values of all the existing units in a community, a condominium termination presents a fruitful opportunity.

In a market with little undeveloped waterfront properties, combined with the recent influx of well-heeled new residents, offering to purchase all a community’s units in order to demolish a building and raise a new one presents a potentially lucrative development option.

Developers in the state are already setting their sights on a fast-growing list of target communities.

Depending on the language of the governing documents for a community, condominium terminations in Florida require very high approvals ranging from 80 to 100% of all the unit owners. Needless to say, achieving that level of buy-in from property owners is a daunting task for developers, which also often face competing offers from other condominium builders.

However, decisions between moving forward with significant special assessments to restore and repair an aging condominium tower versus offers of three times the value of one’s unit are giving owners a lot to ponder.

Serious proposals from major developers in communities that may be right for termination and redevelopment require careful consideration. This usually begins with the unit owners meeting with those presenting offers to hear their proposals and initiate the vetting process. The engagement of experienced real estate and legal professionals for the ensuing negotiations is also highly advisable.

Ultimately, it will be up to each individual owner to decide what is in their best interests.

Terminations require many months to complete, and those that are contested could take as long as several years. Plus, there will always be matters for negotiation, such as how long owners will be allowed to continue residing in their units after the termination is completed, what costs will each owner bear, what to do with existing tenant leases, and others.

Condominium terminations can be contentious, and they often stir up controversy. Today, the developers that are successfully acquiring sites through terminations are generally paying way above market value to secure the buy-in of as many owners as possible to obtain the required termination approval.

For those communities that check all the boxes for termination, there may never be a better time than now for unit owners to unite behind one offer and strike the best possible deal.


Cited:  Miami Herald












Saturday, February 12, 2022

Pine Park is $44M vested in Arizona Senior Market

 

PINE PARK is $44M VESTED into Senior Living…Senior living is better for companies like Pine Park Health and its focus on primary care for the valued Senior population.  Wenston DeSue

Cited: seniorliving.com


Having raised $44 million, Pine Park Health is poised to bring primary care into more senior living communities in 2022 and beyond.

Founded in 2019, Pine Park is part of a new generation of providers reinventing how primary care is delivered to older adults. Like companies such as Oak Street Healthand Cano Health, Pine Park contracts with Medicare Advantage plans that are seeking to control their costs by working with partners that can more effectively manage beneficiary populations.

Unlike those other companies, Pine Park’s model is specifically geared toward senior living.

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“I think all of us, probably all of this class of company, have a similar set of ideas about reinventing primary care, making it holistic, making it coordinated and making it accountable for total cost of care, and using technologies as a significant part of that transformation,” Dan O’Neill, chief commercial officer at Pine Park, told SHN. “But there are huge differences in serving the senior living environments — their operational needs, cadences, patterns and practices.” 

The focus on senior living is paying off in the form of business expansion: Pine Park already provides services in about 50 communities, mostly in northern California, and is working with operators such as HumanGood, SRG and Westmont Living. 

In late 2021, the company began serving the San Diego market and plans to expand through Southern California over the next year-and-a-half, while also expanding into the Phoenix metropolitan area later in 2022.


Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate. 

Interest Rates Make Homeownership Goal more Interesting

 They say the “big squeeze” is afoot in home ownership and rents don’t bode well for the both.  This article speaks to the former…Wenston DeSue

After three fairly calm weeks, the average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage rose to 3.69% from last week’s 3.55%.

WASHINGTON (AP) – Average long-term U.S. mortgage rates jumped last week to their highest level in more than two years, potentially bumping some homebuyers out of the market with Americans getting squeezed by higher costs for just about everything.

The average rate on the 30-year loan jumped nearly a quarter point to 3.69% last week (3.55%), mortgage buyer Freddie Mac reported Thursday. After rising nearly a half-point early in the year, the average long-term rate had been flat for three weeks. A year ago, the long-term rate was 2.73%.

Although it’s still historically low, the average rate for a 30-year mortgage hasn’t been this high since the first week of January 2020 when it was 3.72%.

The average rate on 15-year, fixed-rate mortgages, popular among those refinancing their homes, was 2.93%. It stood at 2.77% a year ago.

The Federal Reserve has signaled that it would begin the first in a series of interest rate hikes in March, reversing pandemic-era policies that have fueled hiring and growth, but also contributing to inflation levels not seen in some 40 years.

The Labor Department said Thursday that consumer prices jumped 7.5% last month compared with 12 months earlier, the steepest year-over-year increase since February 1982. Higher costs for just about everything has hammered consumers, wiping out pay raises and reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin raising borrowing rates across the economy.

Home prices have risen even more. Depending on where you are seeking to live, the price for a new home has broadly risen about 14% and as much as 30% in some cities. Housing has been in short supply even before the pandemic, and higher prices and rising interest rates will make it even harder for those seeking a move to buy a new home.




Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access, purpose and often times, power.  These articles represent aspects that affect the business of real estate.