Saturday, June 25, 2022

Quebec Redevelopment Ahead of the Curve.

 

New Developments Bring a Wide Array of Hotel Opportunities to Once Overlooked Suburbs

How 3 Quebec Projects Illustrate a Growing Hospitality Trend 

Alt Hotel located in Quartier DIX30 in Brossard, Quebec. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)
Alt Hotel located in Quartier DIX30 in Brossard, Quebec. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

Quebec’s suburbs have evolved significantly over the past several decades, as they have become denser and as new developments and services have been built. The pandemic precipitated the exodus of thousands of Montrealers into the suburbs, according to many studies by institutions such as Statistics Canada.

Suburbs are becoming more populous; many suburban cities feature in the 15 most populous cities in Quebec, according to Institut de la statistique du Québec, such as Laval (the third most populous city in Quebec), Longueuil, Terrebonne and Brossard.

With this surge in suburban population, one sector that has also seen growth might come as a surprise to some: hospitality. Perhaps the first significant suburban hospitality project in Quebec dates to 2007, when Germain Hotels made the (at the time rather risky) decision to open Alt Hotel in Quartier DIX30 in Brossard in September 2007. “It became the prototype, the first Alt Hotel in Canada. Now we have a dozen in different provinces,” remembers Hugo Germain, Vice-President of Operations at Germain Hotels.

The lobby at Alt Hotel located in Quartier DIX30. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

The Quebec-based business decided to open a hotel at Quartier DIX30 due to its trust relationship with Groupe Devimco, the project developer. “We were invited to imagine a hotel for the would-be Quartier DIX30. You have to remember that at the time, it was just a big field,” he remembered.

The promoter’s vision for a gigantic lifestyle mall was uncommon in the suburbs at the time, but Germain Hotels believed in the project. The 158-room Alt Hotel was created in collaboration with architecture firm LEMAYMICHAUD, which offered to build a 15-floor vertical structure at the intersection of highways 10 and 30, providing excellent visibility.

Mixed-Use Is Good for Everyone

What makes a lifestyle mall like Quartier DIX30 interesting for a hotelier, according to Germain, is that the differing clienteles of the overall project — corporate office workers and business travelers during the week; tourists and leisure shoppers on weekends — align with a hotel’s typical customer delineation.

“What we see in a framework like the DIX30, it’s that during the week, it’s busy with corporate reservations, and on the weekend, people come to shop, eat at the restaurant, or see a live show at the theater… And so, the mixed-use aspect is excellent,” he explained.

A two queen bed room at Alt Hotel located in Quartier DIX30. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

It took a few years for the project to stabilize, but eventually, Alt Hotel at Quartier DIX30 was performing at a level equivalent to comparable urban hotels. In fact, things were going so well that Germain Hotels decided to open a second hotel in 2019, this one from their higher-end Escad range.

The lobby at Escad Hotel based at Quartier DIX30. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

According to Germain, Alt Hotel is more popular for clients who are staying a night or two, whereas those who stay at Escad typically unpack their luggage for a few more nights. “With Escad, we created a product that was more ‘loft’-like for a longer stay,” he explained. “The rooms are a little bigger and very luminous.”

Escad Hotel (formerly named Alt+) at Quartier DIX30. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

During the week, the clientele of both Germain Hotels at Quartier DIX30 is more focused on work. With the proximity to highway 30, many businesses in the fields of technology, aerospace, consulting, and more are located nearby. On the weekend, clients come for leisure.

The lobby at Escad Hotel. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

“People do not necessarily want to come to Montreal. They want to come to Quartier DIX30 and shop,” he explained. Quartier DIX30 is the second biggest mall in Canada, according to its website, and features more than 300 stores. Germain notes that girls’ weekends are particularly popular in both hotels due to the many services offered close by, such as spas, restaurants, and a performance venue.

Suburban Hotels, the Next Generation

The DIX30 concept proved so popular that it began to catch on elsewhere. Solar Uniquartier, a similar mixed-use development, is gradually opening on the other side of highway 10. Solar Uniquartier contains more than 400 000 square feet (37 161 square meters) of commercial space and more than 600 000 square feet (55 741 square meters) of office space, and 4300 residential units are being built. And, like its predecessor, Solar Uniquartier features a hotel; the Courtyard Montreal-Brossard opened in June 2020.

Courtyard by Marriott Montreal-Brossard in Solar Uniquartier located in Brossard, Quebec. (Courtesy of Courtyard by Marriott Montreal-Brossard)

Before the opening, a market study determined that there was significant demand in the area for a hotel that could host large events, according to Anne-Sophie Aubé, sales director at Hotel Courtyard Montreal-Brossard.

“The ambition of the Marriott International chain was aligned with the ambition of Solar Uniquartier to create the downtown of the South Shore,” added Aubé.

The lobby at Courtyard Montreal-Brossard. (Courtesy of Courtyard Montreal-Brossard)

She explained that one of the big benefits of being located on the South Shore, as opposed to being in the city, is the access to free parking. And because these mixed-use developments offer so many services, restaurants and shopping options, visitors have plenty of pedestrian access once they’ve parked.

According to Aubé, since the hotel has a mostly corporate client base, the location within Solar Uniquartier was strategic, especially since many businesses, including Bonduelle, are moving their offices into the new real estate development. “The hotel is easily accessible for the many businesses located in the industrial parks nearby,” she said.

A room with a king bed at Courtyard Montreal-Brossard. (Courtesy of Courtyard Montreal-Brossard)

The many commodities close by are also helping to attract clientele. “We tend to joke to our guests that one stay will not be enough to discover all of the attractions near the hotel,” Aubé said.

The mixed-use factor was also what persuaded Urgo Hotels to open a Courtyard by Marriott at Espace Montmorency, the new mixed-use complex which will gradually open its doors a stone’s throw from the Montmorency metro station in Laval in June 2022.

The Courtyard by Marriott hotel at Espace Montmorency is poised to open during Fall-Winter 2022-2023. (Courtesy of Urgo Hotels)

Starting in 2017, Urgo Hotels Canada was in discussions with the other development partners of Espace Montmorency — MONTONI, Groupe Sélection and Fonds immobilier de solidarité FTQ. The hotel comprises 188 rooms and suites and is poised to open at the end of 2022 or the beginning of 2023. It will feature meeting rooms, restaurants and a large terrace overlooking Espace Montmorency’s public square.

“The hotel is in the newly developing Laval neighborhood where there are live events, bars, and patios. This project had every winning attribute for a hotel, which is why we became interested in it,” explained Serge Primeau, Associate Director and President of Urgo Hotels Canada.

A rendering of the future Courtyard by Marriott at Espace Montmorency. (Courtesy of Urgo Hotels)

Besides the many services offered at Espace Montmorency and nearby, the new Courtyard by Marriott is a few steps away from Place Bell, a large-capacity venue where the Laval Rocket professional ice hockey team plays.

Urgo Hotels was looking to settle in Laval for years. “Laval was, at the beginning of the pandemic, one of the most dynamic markets in Quebec. It’s a market that offers growing occupancy rates, which were very high,” explained Primeau.

Laval is a choice destination for a hotelier due to its industrial basin that continues all the way to Mirabel to the north, and Saint-Eustache to the west.

A rendering of the future Courtyard by Marriott at Espace Montmorency. (Courtesy of Urgo Hotels)

The Public Transit Advantage

Hotels in the suburbs were previously rather inaccessible to public transit users, but that’s not the case in Quebec today, which may be one reason why internationally recognized hotels are increasingly settling outside the city.

The Alt and Escad hotels in Quartier DIX30, as well as the Hotel Marriott Montreal-Brossard in Solar Uniquartier are a short walk from the new REM (Réseau Express Métropolitain) station, which is poised to open in 2022.

Likewise, the Courtyard by Marriott at Espace Montmorency will sit directly above Montmorency metro station. “Few hotels can have such a simple access to downtown by metro,” said Primeau.

A Side Effect of the Pandemic

The suburban hotel market’s success is in part a side effect of the pandemic, according to Laura Baxter, Director of Hospitality Analytics for CoStar Canada.

“People avoided cities because of the lack of reasons to go, but also because of the proximity and the high density, as everyone was trying to avoid getting COVID,” said Baxter.

Suburbs thus took a more considerable market share from the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic onwards. From January 2020 to March 2022, suburban hotels in Quebec recorded higher occupancy rates than hotels in cities.

The bar at Escad Hotel positioned in Quartier DIX30. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

For example, in August 2021, occupancy rates in hotels located in the suburbs in Quebec were at 63% compared to 43% in cities.

Baxter explained that upper midscale and upscale hotels located in the suburbs have seen the most growth, and that they recovered from the pandemic quicker than hotels in city centers.

“As the industry started bouncing back slightly, suburban hotels started outperforming urban hotels quite significantly, and that has been the trend ever since the pandemic started,” added Baxter. The CoStar statistics used for this article are as of March 2022, so only time will tell if this trend continues.

The bar at Escad Hotel. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

The Future of Hospitality in Suburban Quebec

In any case, as the suburbs become denser and as more and more services are made available, everything indicates that hotel opportunities will keep growing.

“Ultimately, I think that density brings beautiful opportunities,” added Hugo Germain. “I see this positively. There are residents who live in the area who come to the restaurants, and others that will sometimes need housing for their guests… I think that people attract people.”

The view from Alt Hotel at DIX30. (Courtesy of Germain Hotels)

This point of view is shared by Serge Primeau. “We slept for two years, but when we woke up, we were happy to see that suburban markets are more dynamic with their recovery than what we see in big urban centers,” he added. “Often, the suburban hospitality market is a second-rate hospitality market, and with these few new projects, including the one that we are adding, it’s very much a first-rate hotel market, from the perspective of their design and components. We are offering high-quality options for the suburbs of Montreal.”


Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access and ultimately, power.  Knowledge is power…

Friday, June 24, 2022

PCS Update…

 

1 big thing: Orange County voters to decide rent controls

Hands grasping for control of a dollar sign.

Yesterday, Orange County Commissioners agreed to put an ordinance before voters in November to regulate rent increases.

Why it matters: This is the first time in Florida history that such an ordinance has been put up for a vote. 

Backstory: Orange County rents increased an average of 30% in the past year. A 1977 Florida law requires that municipalities prove that there is a “housing emergency” before they can place any limits on rent increases or other housing price or rent stabilization measures. The Commissioners heard legal arguments from a law firm on behalf of an association of apartment owners that said that it is extremely unlikely that Orange County will meet this high bar to passage. 

The Commissioners voted in April to have a study conducted by GAI Consultants to determine whether there was a housing “emergency” under Florida law that would justify rent controls. The 54-page reportpublished earlier this month concluded that, while it may be a “crisis,” it’s not an “emergency.”

What's next: The ordinance must be drafted by August 23 if it has a chance of making it on the November 8 ballot. Commissioner Emily Bonilla first raised the need for a temporary rent stabilization ordinance. 

  • Protesters in favor of the tenant-protection measures rallied outside the county administration building and made speeches in favor of the measures before and during the commission’s three-hour meeting on the subject. 

The bottom line: As long as there’s a shortage of affordable workforce housing, demand will outstrip supply.

Go deeper: Orlando Sentinel’s Subscription site

2. Orlando in the top 10 for investor homebuyers

An illustration of a number of similar-looking and one different cat

Investors bought a larger share of homes in the US last quarter than they ever have with 20% of all purchases being investors. In Orlando, it was higher at 25.7%. 

This puts Orlando at number 7 in the top 10 US metros where investors were buying homes in the first quarter. JAX, Miami, and Tampa were numbers 2, 5, and 8, respectively. 

By the numbers: This is a 12.9% decreasefrom the previous quarter, but a 44.7% increase over last year at the same time. In real dollars, investors bought $1,092,176,213 worth of real estate in the Orlando metro in Q1 at a median sales price of $314,750.

The top zip codes for investors to purchase? 

  • Kissimmee - 34743, 34758, and 34741; 

  • Sanford - 32771; 

  • Ventura - 32822; 

  • Lockhart - 32810; and

  • Orlo Vista - 32811

The bottom line: Despite the increase over last year’s numbers, it’s clear that investors are hitting pause on purchasing like retail buyers are. Rising interest rates, increasing listing supply, and dropping prices are apparent to investors as much as to everyone else. Most investors I’ve spoken with are taking a short break, with plans to seek out good deals when the prices fall to a “comfortable” point. 

Go deeper: Redfin News and Orlando Business Journal

3. What you’ve missed

Illustration of a butler holding a silver platter with a newspaper on top that's on fire
  1. Nationwide home sales dropped in May by 8.6% over the previous year, but the median price still increased to $400,000.00, even as active listings supply increased. How can supply increase along with price? - Axios

  2. As mortgage lenders lay off huge swaths of staff, mortgage applications are actually up 4.2% since last week, the second week in a row of rising numbers. - MReport

  3. And a lot more of those applications are for adjustable-rate mortgages. - CNBC

  4. Expect the Fed to continue raising rates by three-quarter or half-point increments for the foreseeable future. - Fox Business News


    Real Estate

    Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access and ultimately, power.  Knowledge is power…

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

Buyer’s Market Soon?!?!?

 NEWS & MEDIA

House drawing with for sale and discounted on a sign
Lusky, DigitalVision, Getty Images

1 in 4 Sellers Cutting Price as Market Cools

Altos Research: Rising rates and economic shifts have slowed down super-eager buyers as the market shifts to “much more normal conditions.”

NEW YORK – Altos Research reports that prices have been cut on more than 25% of homes on the market right now.

“Rising rates and the shift in the economy has slowed down the super-eager buyers,” says Mike Simonsen, co-founder and CEO of Altos Research. “We’re shifting from a real buying frenzy to much more normal conditions.”

He says about a third of homes take a price cut under normal conditions, but that was only 14% this spring amid high demand and low inventory.

“Sellers in the last two years can overprice their home and still get offers – that condition of the frenzy is gone, so it’s a much more normal market,” Simonsen says. “By July, expect to be back to our normal conditions nationally. We’ve been hotter than normal for over two full years since the start of the pandemic. By August, sellers who aren’t prepared will be surprised.”

He says there’s “nothing in the data yet that shows an indication of home prices crashing, [but] there is an indication of probably zero home price appreciation in 2023.”


Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access and ultimately, power.  Knowledge is power…


Friday, June 17, 2022

Tampa Bay Bay Bay!

 T-Bay…All the way!!!!!!

Wenston DeSue


Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access and ultimately, power.  Knowledge is power…


How the pandemic spurred the ‘Great Relocation’ to Tampa Bay

By Ali St Cyr, Broker/Owner at Tomlin St Cyr

The pandemic has changed the housing market indefinitely. From what people want in their homes to where they want to live, the real estate industry has transformed over the past two years. Now homes are for working, learning, exercising, entertaining and more. And Florida, particularly Tampa Bay, is increasingly where many want to be.

PEOPLE ARE CHOOSING TAMPA BAY OVER OTHER LEADING CITIES 

While millions transitioned to working from home during the pandemic, many reconsidered where they wanted to call home once a commute no longer mattered. Towns closer to beaches and mountains, as well as proximity to bustling retail and restaurant industries, became the hot spots – particularly if the cost of living is lower. Tampa Bay’s robust job market, growing population of home buyers and surging increase of home values contributed to its growth over other major cities.

Home prices in Tampa Bay have exploded over the last year. In February, the Tampa area showed a 32.6% increase in year-over-year home prices. Phoenix led the nation at 32.9%. But no other metro area saw price growth above 30% in February. In January, Zillow named Tampa Bay the top real estate market in the US, heading into 2022. The company’s economists predict Tampa’s home values will rise 24.6% this year.

THE PANDEMIC HAS TRANSFORMED HOME NEEDS

Over the past two years, real estate needs have changed dramatically. With supply and contractor shortages, the desire for turnkey homes skyrocketed. And as remote work becomes more standard, overall home footprints are getting larger as builders add more small, flex rooms. Flexibility and the ability to customize a home are on the top of the list for buyers. Plus, every room in the house is becoming more wired. To accommodate working and schooling from home, builders are adding power outlets and USB ports.

The median size of new single-family homes has grown about 10% since 2009 and will likely keep growing as consumers choose more activities at home. As a result of the pandemic, 36% of Millennials want bigger houses, according to a survey by the National Association of Home Builders. Both Millennials and Gen Xers want more bedrooms, home offices and workout rooms. Plus, dedicated spaces for activities like meditation and yoga, video games, golf simulators or Zoom calls are cropping up on wish lists.

With the results from the recent America at Home Study, Garman Homes of Raleigh, North Carolina, built a 2,600-square-foot concept home reflecting what consumers want:

  • Four bedrooms and three-and-a-half bathrooms
  • Designed for a hypothetical, older Millennial family with two working parents, one working from home while the other works outside the home
  • More access to exercise and outdoor space with separate homeowner and guest entries
  • Two dedicated office spaces, a larger family bathroom and enhanced kitchen functionality
  • Several covered outdoor spaces, dedicated drop zone for packages and flexible storage
  • Grand open area with a large countertop island allowing people to eat together
  • A bedroom that’s like a private conference room

 

HOMEBUYING HAS CHANGED OVER THE LAST TWO YEARS

The Federal Reserve plunged interest rates to historic lows to jumpstart the economy. Existing homeowners were able to take advantage of their home’s skyrocketing value, locking in a low-cost mortgage for up to 30 years. Millions of homeowners took advantage of refinancing with a lifetime financial advantage. Additionally, inflation caused by the pandemic has rewarded homeowners and punished renters.

As for homebuying, the entire process become more high-tech. From 3D Matterport virtual tours to virtual furniture for home staging, the pandemic accelerated technological advancement in real estate. Plus, appraisals can be done remotely and documents signed electronically. This means escrows will continue to be shorter, from 21 days rather than 30, for example, even if the market regulates.

LOOKING AHEAD AT THE REAL ESTATE MARKET

Fannie Mae believes home price growth should remain in double digits throughout 2022. But next year, Fannie Mae projects that US home prices will climb only 3.2%. That’s even less than the prediction in March, when Fannie Mae projected a 4.2% home price growth next year.


Thursday, June 16, 2022

It’s A Bearish Thursday!

 

Dow Falls Below 30,000, Tesla Is Sliding—and What Else Is Happening in the Stock Market Today

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

JIM WATSON/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES

The stock market was tumbling Thursday as pessimism replaced optimism following the Federal Reserve’s three-quarter point rate increase—and the possibility it could drive the economy into recession.

Shortly after the open, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 770 points, or 2.5%, while the S&P 500 has dropped 2.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite has declined 3%. All three major indexes gained at least 1% Wednesday. The 10-year Treasury yield has risen 0.135 percentage point to 3.42%, as bond prices fall.

“The Fed is going to accept recession risk to deliver below trend [longer-term growth trend] economic growth,” wrote Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research. 

Yesterday’s rate increase wasn’t unexpected, and neither was its size. Inflation has not declined, Treasury yields have soared, and the stock market has plunged, with the S&P 500 in a bear market, defined as a 20% drop. So when the Fed delivered a rate hike in line with expectations, the market rallied. 

But this most recent rate hike isn’t the end of the story—and markets are now taking note of that. The Fed’s projected rate hikes looking ahead would bring the benchmark lending rate up to 3.75% by the end of 2023. That’s has brought the 2-year Treasury yield, which attempts to forecast the level of the benchmark lending rate a couple of years from the present, to 3.28%, up from Wednesday’s close and just under a multiyear high. 

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The point is that the Fed keeps having to plan more rate hikes in order to reduce economic demand and inflation, and markets need to reflect that. The ultimate fear is that the Fed puts the economy into a recession. To be sure, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed hopes to become data dependent soon. That means the central bank will closely monitor how quickly economic growth and inflation decline and just how much tightening is needed. 

But that’s a story for another day, as far as markets are concerned. “The positive spin from Powell is gone,” wrote NatAlliance Securities’ Andrew Brenner. 

Ultimately, “They [Fed] are so far behind the curve that they have little choice” but to act aggressively in lifting interest rates, wrote Jason Brady, president and CEO of Thornburg Investment Management.


Real Estate

Wenston DeSue is a realtor, organizational consultant, design, construct, build expert and developmental networker.  Real estate is the business of exchange and affects every person on the planet.  Real estate on all levels represents resources, access and ultimately, power.  Knowledge is power…